

190 

FNUS54 KMRX 172038

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

338 PM EST WED DEC 17 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK SYSTEM WILL SPREAD LIGHT PRECIPITATION ACROSS 

PORTIONS OF THE AREA MAINLY DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THURSDAY. A FEW 

AREAS MAY SEE SOME LIGHT SNOW AS WELL...HOWEVER...NO ACCUMULATION IS 

EXPECTED. A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE GULF OF MEXICO 

WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY...SPREADING PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH 

SATURDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

338 PM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-6)   38-43 (-5)   25-30        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-9)   46-51 (-5)   86-91        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM                                   

PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW  6        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

338 PM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-3)   39-44 (-3)   26-31        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-11)  39-44 (-9)   85-90        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM                                   

PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      NW  8        

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT

SLEET. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY...CHANCE OF SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT

SLEET. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-182145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

338 PM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-3)   41-46 (+1)   27-32        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   35-40 (-8)   86-91        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM                                  

PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     N  6         

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY...CHANCE OF SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PERIODS OF RAIN...CHANCE OF SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT

SLEET. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

10 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-182145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

338 PM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-3)   45-50 (+1)   28-33        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-3)   39-44 (-6)   87-92        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM                                  

PRECIP END                         1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     N  6         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY...CHANCE OF SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-182145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

338 PM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   47-52 (0)    27-32        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-6)   32-37 (-9)   87-92        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM                                  

PRECIP END                         1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     N  5         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN...CHANCE OF SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW...LIGHT SLEET AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

338 PM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-6)   40-45 (-5)   27-32        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-4)   47-52 (-3)   88-93        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM                                  

PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      N  3         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

338 PM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-4)   42-47 (-2)   27-32        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-6)   48-53 (+1)   91-96        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     NE  6        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

338 PM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   45-50 (0)    27-32        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-4)   45-50 (-2)   92-97        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      NE  8        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



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