

391 

FNUS54 KMRX 170802

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

302 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014



.DISCUSSION...

WEDNESDAY WILL BE PRECIPITATION FREE...HOWEVER IT WILL 

BECOME PARTLY SUNNY FOR A SHORT TIME WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES 

WARMING INTO THE 40S. LOOK FOR INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN OR SNOW 

LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING GENERALLY ALONG THE 

CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. LIGHT WINDS AND RELATIVE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY

VALUES IN THE 50'S FOR MOST OF THE AREA WILL LEAD TO MINIMAL FIRE

WEATHER CONCERNS.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

302 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   25-30 (-6)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-10)  92-97 (+1)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W  6         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-9)   26-31 (-3)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-14)  86-91 (-7)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NW  8        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-180915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

302 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   26-31 (-3)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-27)  86-91 (-4)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     NW  6        

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-180915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   27-32 (-4)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-19)  93-98 (+2)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      N  6         

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-180915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

302 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   27-32 (-3)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-21)  95-100 (+5)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     NW  5        

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             6                         6            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

302 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   26-31 (-6)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-10)  92-97 (+1)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NW  5        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

302 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-5)   27-32 (-4)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-11)  90-95 (-1)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      1700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     NW  3        

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

302 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-3)   29-34 (-3)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-13)  86-91 (-3)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      1400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      N  6         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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