

580 

FNUS54 KMRX 161931

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

231 PM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDY SKIES WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT AND TEMPERATURES 

WILL DROP INTO THE 30S. WESTERLY WINDS WILL SUBSIDE TO ABOUT 5 MPH 

BY MORNING. WEDNESDAY WILL BE PRECIPITATION FREE...HOWEVER IT WILL 

BECOME PARTLY SUNNY FOR A SHORT TIME WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES 

WARMING INTO THE 40S. LOOK FOR INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN OR SNOW 

LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING GENERALLY ALONG THE 

CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

231 PM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-7)   40-45 (-7)   25-30        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+2)   51-56 (-8)   95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

231 PM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-6)   39-44 (-9)   26-31        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  49-54 (-9)   95-100       45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G22                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     NW  7 G15    NW  5        NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-172045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

231 PM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-8)   43-48 (-5)   25-30        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   35-40 (-19)  95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-172045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

231 PM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-9)   45-50 (-4)   27-32        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  39-44 (-15)  95-100       43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-172045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

231 PM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-8)   49-54 (-1)   26-31        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   31-36 (-21)  95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          6                         8            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

231 PM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-4)   41-46 (-8)   26-31        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   52-57 (-7)   95-100       49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

231 PM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-9)   42-47 (-5)   27-32        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   49-54 (-10)  95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

231 PM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-10)  44-49 (-4)   28-33        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-4)   47-52 (-11)  95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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