

505 

FNUS54 KMRX 160846

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

346 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. 

SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY WITH 

CLOUDS REMAINING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.  RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE 

WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY...BUT ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE 

ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THURSDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

346 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-6)   32-37 (-6)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+17)  89-94 (+5)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  7         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 12         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 W  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  9 G18     W  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS

NEAR 40. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

346 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   30-35 (-5)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+15)  89-94 (+2)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G19                 NW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     W 10 G20     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 14         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G24                 NW 10 G22    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     W 13 G25     NW  7 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-171000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

346 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   30-35 (-7)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+14)  89-94 (+5)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G24                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     NW  8        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G30                 NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     W  9 G20     NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-171000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

346 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   32-37 (-8)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+15)  87-92 (-3)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     NW  8        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G20                 N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     NW  7        NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-171000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

346 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-6)   31-36 (-7)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+16)  85-90 (-4)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW  8        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   7 POOR       

MAX LVORI             5                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G18                 N  7 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     NW  8 G15    NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

346 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   33-38 (-3)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+13)  87-92 (-2)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G15                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W  9         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 W  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W  9 G19     W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

346 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   32-37 (-8)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+12)  88-93 (0)    50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     W  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     NW  7        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES.

LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

346 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-6)   33-38 (-9)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+9)   86-91 (-8)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NW  8        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     W  6         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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