

621 

FNUS54 KMRX 151518

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1018 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ALLOWING A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE 

SYSTEM TO TRACK NORTHEAST TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES. A COLD FRONT 

EXTENDING FROM THAT LOW WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND 

TUESDAY MORNING.  WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ANTICIPATED.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161630-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1018 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+16)  38-43 (+13)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-27)  80-85 (-11)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.06         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      W 24         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         W  8 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161630-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1018 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+9)   35-40 (+8)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-10)  86-91 (+12)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       9 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.05         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      W 26         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SW  9 G20    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  6         W 11 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-161630-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1018 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+8)   37-42 (+10)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-16)  95-100 (+29) 49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W 29         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G24    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     W 11 G23     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-161630-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1018 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+9)   40-45 (+17)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-21)  95-100 (+8)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.24         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      W 22         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  8 G17     W  9         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-161630-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1018 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+6)   38-43 (+18)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-15)  93-98 (+4)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      W 23         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        W  8 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1018 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+13)  36-41 (+13)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-16)  85-90 (-10)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.05         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  3                     W 26         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               36 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1018 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+13)  40-45 (+13)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-21)  95-100 (+4)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.01         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      W 24         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               40 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         W 10 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161630-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1018 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+8)   42-47 (+16)  50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-11)  95-100 (+2)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.16         0.01         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      W 21         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    39 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  7 G15     W  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



