

697 

FNUS54 KMRX 142003

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

303 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2014



.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION OVERNIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE 

SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES. A 

COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THAT LOW WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY 

NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

303 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   54-59 (+17)  38-43        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+5)   27-32 (-40)  85-90        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W 32         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               91 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6         W  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (0)    53-58 (+10)  36-41        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+2)   25-30 (-18)  86-91        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W 23         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               56 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G27    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G18     W 10 G20     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-152115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

303 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+1)   54-59 (+10)  38-43        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+5)   17-22 (-25)  79-84        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.21         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 14 G32    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5 G15    S 11 G24     W 10 G20     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-152115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-2)   58-63 (+11)  40-45        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   21-26 (-30)  86-91        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  9 G19    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.23         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G21    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G15     SE 12 G24    W  8 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-152115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-5)   59-64 (+8)   38-43        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 18-23 (-24)  90-95        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.23         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  8 G19    W  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

303 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-3)   54-59 (+14)  37-42        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+6)   29-34 (-27)  90-95        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 28         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               91 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        W 10 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

303 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   54-59 (+14)  40-45        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+7)   30-35 (-31)  88-93        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.21         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      W 23         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               69 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6 G18     W  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

303 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-3)   57-62 (+11)  42-47        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  32-37 (-20)  87-92        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  7         W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.20         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  9 G18     W  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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