

247 

FNUS54 KMRX 100931

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

431 AM EST WED DEC 10 2014



.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE SOUTHEAST STATES 

TODAY BUT LINGERING MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE SOME LIGHT DRIZZLE...SNOW

FLURRIES AND LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY THIS MORNING. LITTLE OR NO

SNOW ACCUMULATION EXPECTED OUTSIDE THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. HIGH

PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY MOVE IN LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SKIES WILL

BEGIN CLEARING FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND BECOME MOSTLY

SUNNY ALL AREAS THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL STAY SEVERAL DEGREES

BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THURSDAY.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-111045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

431 AM EST WED DEC 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-3)   24-29 (-5)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-9)   88-93 (-5)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  6        W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     W 10         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G17                 W  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    NW  7 G15    W  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-111045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

431 AM EST WED DEC 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   22-27 (-3)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-12)  81-86 (-10)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G19                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    NW  9 G18    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G24                 NW  8 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    NW 11 G23    NW  7 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ072-074-111045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

431 AM EST WED DEC 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (0)    21-26 (-4)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-13)  85-90 (-6)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      NW  8        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G17                 NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    NW  7 G15    NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-111045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

431 AM EST WED DEC 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   23-28 (-5)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-13)  82-87 (-5)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      N  9         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     N  7         NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-111045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

431 AM EST WED DEC 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   23-28 (-5)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-13)  80-85 (-5)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8         N  7         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G18     N  9 G17     NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-111045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

431 AM EST WED DEC 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-2)   24-29 (-6)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-7)   82-87 (-6)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     W  8         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    W  6         W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-111045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

431 AM EST WED DEC 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    24-29 (-6)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-10)  85-90 (-2)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      NW  5        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-111045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

431 AM EST WED DEC 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-1)   26-31 (-2)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-7)   81-86 (-3)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 16                      N  7         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N  5         NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TD/SON



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