

662 

FNUS54 KMRX 091930

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

230 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON 

AND TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN FALLING THIS EVENING...AND LOWER TO NEAR 

FREEZING IN THE VALLEYS BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL 

CHANCE SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS TO A MIX LIGHT SNOW AND RAIN LATER 

THROUGH TONIGHT. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION EXPECTED OUTSIDE THE 

HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

230 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-3)   32-37 (-4)   23-28        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  67-72 (-1)   86-91        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  8 G15    NW  6        W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 W  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW 10 G19    NW  7 G16    W  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

230 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-5)   31-36 (-3)   22-27        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  63-68 (-7)   80-85        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G21                 NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW 11 G20    NW  9 G19    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G26                 NW  8 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    NW 13 G25    NW 11 G24    W  8 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-102030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

230 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-5)   33-38 (-1)   21-26        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  57-62 (-8)   84-89        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    NW  8        NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G21                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    NW  9 G18    NW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-102030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

230 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-5)   38-43 (0)    23-28        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+5)   50-55 (-10)  80-85        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         NW  8        N  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G19                  N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     NW 10 G18    N  7 G16     N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-102030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

230 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-5)   37-42 (-1)   23-28        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+4)   49-54 (-11)  78-83        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  8        N  7 G15     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G20                 N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    NW 11 G19    N  8 G18     NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

230 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   35-40 (-2)   24-29        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+3)   62-67 (-3)   81-86        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  8        NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW 10 G17    NW  6 G15    W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

230 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-4)   37-42 (0)    24-29        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+3)   58-63 (-6)   82-87        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N 13         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  8        NW  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

230 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-5)   39-44 (-1)   25-30        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+2)   52-57 (-6)   78-83        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      N 16         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G16     NW  8        N  5         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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