

008 

FNUS54 KMRX 090913

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

413 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES

WILL BEGIN FALLING THIS AFTERNOON AND LOWER TO NEAR FREEZING IN THE

VALLEYS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL MOVE IN

TODAY. THE RAIN MAY BECOME MIXED WITH LIGHT SNOW LATER TODAY AND

TONIGHT. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION EXPECTED OUTSIDE THE HIGHER

ELEVATIONS. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-101000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

413 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   28-33 (-2)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+18)  95-100 (+12) 63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  6        NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.07         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      NW  9 G19    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW  8        NW 10 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-101000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

413 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-4)   25-30 (-4)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+13)  95-100 (+10) 61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6 G16                 NW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW  8 G17    NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.09         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 24        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G20                 NW 13 G26    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G21    NW 10 G21    NW 13 G24    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ072-074-101000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

413 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-8)   24-29 (-5)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+12)  95-100 (+13) 52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  N  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    N  6         NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.07         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     N 18         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G19                  N 10 G22     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G21    N  8 G15     NW  9 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ087-102-101000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

413 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-6)   27-32 (-5)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+9)   95-100 (+8)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G16                  N  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    N  6         NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     N 21         

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G20                  N 11 G20     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    N  8 G16     NW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-101000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

413 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-5)   27-32 (-5)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+7)   95-100 (+11) 45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G18                 N  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    N  5         NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     N 22         

DISPERSION            97 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G22                 N 11 G22     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    N  6         NW 10 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-101000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

413 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-6)   28-33 (-2)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+13)  95-100 (+8)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  6        NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G17                  NW  9 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    NW  7        NW 10 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-101000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

413 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-8)   29-34 (-4)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+11)  93-98 (+7)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  5        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     N 15         

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  NW  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9        NW  6        NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-101000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

413 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-5)   29-34 (-5)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+7)   92-97 (+7)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9        N  7 G15     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     N 20         

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G18                 N  9         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G20    N  9 G19     NW  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



SON/TD



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