

439 

FNUS54 KMRX 081938

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

238 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO

TOMORROW MORNING. A FEW SHOWERS OR EVEN BRIEF SNOW SHOWERS MAY

OCCUR OVER ELEVATED LOCATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS ON

TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-092045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

238 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+2)   41-46 (+1)   28-33        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+11)  57-62 (+17)  95-100       60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  5        NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW  8 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        NW  6        NW 10 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-092045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

238 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   37-42 (-3)   25-30        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+17)  63-68 (+20)  95-100       58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    NW  8 G15    NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.07         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW 26        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 NW 12 G23    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G19    NW 10 G19    NW 12 G23    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-092045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

238 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-1)   35-40 (-9)   24-29        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+16)  62-67 (+21)  95-100       54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        N  6         NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW 21        

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      N  9 G19     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    N  8 G16     NW  9 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-092045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

238 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+1)   40-45 (-6)   27-32        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   56-61 (+13)  90-95        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        N  5         N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     N 20         

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N  9 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9        N  6         N  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-092045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

238 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+3)   41-46 (-4)   27-32        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+3)   52-57 (+8)   88-93        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     N 18         

DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N 11 G21     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      NW 10 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-092045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

238 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+2)   41-46 (-4)   28-33        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+9)   56-61 (+14)  89-94        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        NW  6        NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      NW  8 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    NW  7        NW 10 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-092045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

238 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   40-45 (-7)   29-34        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+10)  56-61 (+12)  87-92        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  5        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      NW  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        NW  6        NW  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-092045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

238 PM EST MON DEC 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+1)   43-48 (-4)   29-34        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+8)   49-54 (+5)   85-90        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    N  6         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     N 16         

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G17                 N  9 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    N  8 G16     N  8 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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