

367 

FNUS54 KMRX 051938

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

238 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



.DISCUSSION...

RAIN WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE SATURDAY...AS A 

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FROM THE PLAINS TO THE OHIO VALLEY. A COLD 

FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY EVENING. SUNDAY WILL BE 

MUCH COOLER AND DRY WITH SUNSHINE RETURNING. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

238 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   54-59 (-1)   32-37        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  73-78 (-2)   94-99        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     NE  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G16     N  9 G18     NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.36         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NE 13        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 NE  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G20     N 11 G22     NE  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

238 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   53-58 (0)    32-37        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  71-76 (+3)   95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  8 G15     N 10 G19     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            7            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.42         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      E 10         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G18                 NE  7 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G18     W  9 G19     N 12 G24     E  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-062045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

238 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   54-59 (-1)   32-37        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    71-76 (-1)   91-96        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G22                 NE  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     W  8 G18     N  9 G20     E  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.36         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      E 12         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G28                 NE 10 G24    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G26     W 11 G22     N 12 G25     E  6 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-062045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

238 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   58-63 (+1)   34-39        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+3)   69-74 (-4)   88-93        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  NE  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  6 G16     N  9 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.28         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NE  8        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G20                  NE  8 G19    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G16     W  9 G20     N 11 G22     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-062045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

238 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   59-64 (+4)   34-39        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 76-81 (-1)   90-95        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         N  9 G19     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.29         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NE  6        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    8 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          8                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      NE  7 G19    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6 G17     N 11 G23     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

238 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   57-62 (-1)   34-39        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  66-71 (-3)   87-92        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     N  8 G15     NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.35         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NE 10        

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 NE  8 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G19     N 10 G19     NE  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

238 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   56-61 (-1)   35-40        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  64-69 (-9)   84-89        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     NE  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17    N  8 G16     NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.25         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NE 12        

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 NE  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         NW 10 G21    N 10 G20     NE  7 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

238 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   59-64 (0)    36-41        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (0)    57-62 (-13)  84-89        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NE  8        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         NW  8 G17    N  9         NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.21         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NE 12        

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 NE 10 G19    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         NW 10 G21    N 11 G20     NE  7 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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