

142 

FNUS54 KMRX 050805

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

305 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



.DISCUSSION...

WARM AND MOIST AIR RETURNING OVER A COOLER AIR MASS 

ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...WILL PRODUCE PATCHY LIGHT RAIN ACROSS 

THE REGION TODAY. THE RAIN WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE ON 

SATURDAY...AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FROM THE PLAINS TO THE 

OHIO VALLEY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY 

EVENING. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

305 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+10)  44-49 (+5)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-16)  95-100 (+2)  72-77        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.23         0.48         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      SW 28        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               90 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         W  8 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

305 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   43-48 (+3)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-11)  95-100 (+4)  69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.15         0.50         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   68 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  8 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  7 G15     W  8 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-060915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

305 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   47-52 (+4)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-2)   92-97 (+2)   70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  6 G15     W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.22         0.56         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      SW 28        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               72 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  SW 10 G20    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     S  9 G19     W 10 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ087-102-060915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

305 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   48-53 (+2)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   95-100 (+2)  73-78        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE  6        W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.25         0.47         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S  9 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SE  8 G17    W  9 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



NCZ060-061-060915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

305 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-7)   46-51 (-1)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+10)  95-100 (+7)  78-83        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.19         0.44         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   11 POOR      

MAX LVORI             5                         7            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5        W  7 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

305 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+7)   46-51 (+5)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-13)  93-98 (-1)   66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.22         0.48         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    82 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

305 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+6)   49-54 (+7)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-7)   92-97 (-4)   65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.38         0.41         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      W 23         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   85 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  6 G15     NW  9 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-060915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

305 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   51-56 (+4)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   90-95 (-4)   68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  6         NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.48         0.33         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      W 20         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   62 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  9 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8         S  8 G16     NW 10 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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