

871 

FNUS54 KMRX 040811

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

311 AM EST THU DEC 4 2014



.DISCUSSION...

WARM AND MOIST AIR RETURNING OVER THE TOP OF RELATIVELY 

COOLER AIR ACROSS THE MID SOUTH ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL 

TROUGH WILL PRODUCE SOME LIGHT RAIN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. 

DESPITE THE PREVALENCE OF CLOUDS AND PATCHY LIGHT RAIN HIGH 

TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY DECEMBER 

RANGING FROM THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S NORTH TO THE UPPER 50S 

AND LOWER 60S ACROSS THE SOUTH. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

311 AM EST THU DEC 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-6)   39-44 (+8)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-3)   95-100 (+4)  66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.14         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      S 10         

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

311 AM EST THU DEC 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-6)   39-44 (+3)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   90-95 (+6)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.09         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 14         

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  8 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-050915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

311 AM EST THU DEC 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   43-48 (+3)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-4)   91-96 (+4)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 18         

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S  9 G19     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S  6         S 10 G20     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-050915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

311 AM EST THU DEC 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    46-51 (+5)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+2)   93-98 (+1)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 16         

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE  6        S  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-050915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

311 AM EST THU DEC 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   45-50 (+5)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-4)   95-100 (0)   63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     SE 12        

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

MAX LVORI             8                         7            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE  6        SE  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

311 AM EST THU DEC 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-6)   40-45 (+7)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   95-100 (+4)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.07         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     S  9         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

311 AM EST THU DEC 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-4)   44-49 (+9)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   95-100 (+5)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      1800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      S 12         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

311 AM EST THU DEC 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   47-52 (+8)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   95-100 (+3)  64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      1700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     S 14         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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