

570 

FNUS54 KMRX 031952

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

252 PM EST WED DEC 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS INTO 

THIS WEEKEND.  IT WILL BE DRY TONIGHT...BUT PRECIPITATION CHANCES 

WILL RETURN THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN TURNING DRY FOR SUNDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-042100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

252 PM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-12)  47-52 (-7)   39-44        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-1)   63-68 (-4)   95-100       66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.21         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      S  9         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    1 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-042100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

252 PM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-8)   46-51 (-9)   38-43        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-4)   62-67 (-1)   89-94        67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.08         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      S  9         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G18    LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-042100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

252 PM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-8)   49-54 (-5)   42-47        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   70-75 (+6)   92-97        64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.05         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     S 14         

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     S  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         S  8 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-042100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

252 PM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-11)  56-61 (-2)   44-49        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  68-73 (+6)   91-96        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.05         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     S 14         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  7 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-042100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

252 PM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-8)   58-63 (+1)   43-48        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  69-74 (+2)   94-99        64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.05         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      S 10         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          7                         6            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-042100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

252 PM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-10)  52-57 (-5)   40-45        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-1)   57-62 (-6)   95-100       63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.09         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      1600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     S  7         

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-042100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

252 PM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-11)  52-57 (-5)   42-47        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  66-71 (+6)   95-100       62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.06         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      1800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-042100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

252 PM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-12)  57-62 (-2)   46-51        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   62-67 (+5)   95-100       64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.07         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      S 14         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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