

004 

FNUS54 KMRX 030818

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

318 AM EST WED DEC 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A FRONT WILL GRADUALLY SLIP SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE 

APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS TODAY PRODUCING OCCASIONAL PATCHES OF LIGHT 

RAIN. DURING THE AFTERNOON SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR WILL BE MAKING ITS 

WAY ONTO THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE GREAT 

VALLEY BRINGING AN END TO THE LIGHT RAIN HERE. MORE RAIN WILL BE 

SPREADING BACK INTO THE REGION AGAIN ON THURSDAY AS MILD AND MOIST 

SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION ALOFT. TEMPERATURES WILL 

REMAIN QUITE MILD FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AVERAGING SEVERAL DEGREES 

ABOVE NORMAL.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

318 AM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   32-37 (-12)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-14)  95-100 (-1)  65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            50           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SE  5        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

318 AM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   35-40 (-6)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-14)  91-96 (-3)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      S  7         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-040930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

318 AM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    38-43 (-6)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-10)  88-93 (-4)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-040930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

318 AM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   40-45 (-9)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    85-90 (-4)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         3 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     S  7         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-040930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

318 AM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   40-45 (-7)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+2)   87-92 (-4)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         3 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      S  7         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   7 POOR       

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

318 AM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   35-40 (-8)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-11)  95-100 (0)   66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            50           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         

PRECIP END            7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      SE  3        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

318 AM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    35-40 (-12)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-14)  95-100 (+1)  70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         3 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SE  3        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

318 AM EST WED DEC 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   38-43 (-12)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-10)  91-96 (-3)   63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         3 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      E  3         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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