

401 

FNUS54 KMRX 022044

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

344 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A FRONT WILL LINGER NEAR THE AREA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A CHANCE

OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK WITH MILD TEMPERATURES 

AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

344 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   54-59 (+3)   36-41        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  66-71 (-16)  95-100       64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  6         NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.09         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NE  3        

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G19                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         W  9 G16     NW  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

344 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-4)   55-60 (+7)   38-43        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  59-64 (-19)  95-100       62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         W  8 G17     NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.04         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      S  1         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G21                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     W 10 G22     NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-032130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

344 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-2)   54-59 (+1)   40-45        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+1)   62-67 (-9)   91-96        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.06         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     S  2         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G25                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     W  8 G19     NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-032130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

344 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   58-63 (0)    42-47        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   66-71 (0)    90-95        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     S  2         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     W  6         N  5         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-032130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

344 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   58-63 (0)    42-47        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   67-72 (+3)   91-96        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     S  3         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   11 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         W  7         NW  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

344 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   58-63 (+4)   38-43        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   60-65 (-14)  95-100       61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.05         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NE  5        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  8 G17     NW  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

344 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   56-61 (+1)   38-43        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (0)    62-67 (-13)  95-100       60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.05         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      E  5         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

344 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   58-63 (0)    41-46        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   61-66 (-11)  92-97        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NE  5        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TD



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