

739 

FNUS54 KMRX 300806

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

306 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE 

WEEKEND AS SOUTHERLY WINDS CARRY WARM AIR INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY 

AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.  A CHANCE OF SHOWERS RETURNS TO THE AREA 

EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

306 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+10)  41-46 (+1)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   95-100 (+15) 67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    SW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 10         

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+11)  39-44 (+1)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+4)   93-98 (+10)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 12         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-010915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

306 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+11)  41-46 (0)    55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+5)   91-96 (+4)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W  9         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G28                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G25    SW 11 G24    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-010915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+8)   42-47 (+3)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   93-98 (-1)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW  6        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G22                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     S  8 G18     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-010915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+9)   40-45 (+5)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   95-100 (+1)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW  6        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

MAX LVORI             5                         6            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    S  5         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

306 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+10)  40-45 (+1)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   95-100 (+10) 62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 10         

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G21                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    S  5         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

306 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+7)   44-49 (+2)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+10)  95-100 (+12) 64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G22                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G20    SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

306 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+7)   46-51 (+3)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+11)  95-100 (+9)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G16     S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW  8        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     S  6 G15     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



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