

066 

FNUS54 KMRX 270806

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

306 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING RAIN AND A LIGHT 

SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THIS THANKSGIVING MORNING...BEFORE 

TAPERING OFF BY THE AFTERNOON. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE 

INTO THE REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...PROMOTING DRY WEATHER AND 

WARMER CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

306 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-3)   18-23 (-10)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-6)   92-97 (+1)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G18    NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   17-22 (-9)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-10)  92-97 (0)    34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G18                 NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    NW  8 G17    W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   1 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G23                 NW  9 G19    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    NW 10 G21    W  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-280915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

306 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-7)   16-21 (-9)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+6)   95-100 (+10) 27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G18                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     NW  7        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   1 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G22                  N  6 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-280915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-5)   20-25 (-8)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   84-89 (-1)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9        NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     NW  3        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               1 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G18                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G18    NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-280915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   20-25 (-8)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   84-89 (-5)   20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    NW  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     NW  5        

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               1 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         6            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G20                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 40.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

306 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-3)   18-23 (-11)  38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-5)   95-100 (+8)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9        NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     SW  5        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G20    NW  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

306 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-7)   20-25 (-10)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+7)   90-95 (+10)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            3 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     S  5         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-280915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

306 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-6)   21-26 (-10)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+5)   83-88 (+6)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     SE  5        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G18                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    NW  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



