

931 

FNUS54 KMRX 262021

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

321 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING RAIN AND A LIGHT 

SNOWFALL ACROSS MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TONIGHT INTO 

THANKSGIVING DAY. OVERNIGHT WESTERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP TO 

10 TO 15 MPH BEFORE SUBSIDING THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THEN DRY 

WEATHER ARRIVES ON FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

321 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-3)   36-41 (-2)   18-23        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+10)  55-60 (-5)   86-91        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.05         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 11 G21    NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

321 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-4)   33-38 (-2)   17-22        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  56-61 (-7)   86-91        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G23                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 13 G24    NW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.08         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     NW 10        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   1 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G29                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 16 G30    NW 10 G22    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-272130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

321 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-6)   32-37 (-6)   16-21        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  56-61 (+10)  95-100       33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G21    NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.07         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NW  7        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               1 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G24                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 13 G26    NW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-272130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

321 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-6)   39-44 (-3)   20-25        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   45-50 (+6)   79-84        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NW  3        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               1 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-272130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

321 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-7)   40-45 (-1)   20-25        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  42-47 (+2)   76-81        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW  5        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               1 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 11 G20    NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 40.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

321 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-4)   39-44 (-2)   18-23        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+7)   51-56 (-3)   86-91        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      SW  5        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G21                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 12 G23    NW  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

321 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-4)   38-43 (-7)   20-25        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+7)   50-55 (+11)  88-93        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     S  5         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    NW  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

321 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-3)   40-45 (-6)   21-26        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+6)   45-50 (+8)   83-88        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM                                               

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SE  5        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G22                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 11 G21    NW  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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