

725 

FNUS54 KMRX 260825

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

325 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014



.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE

EAST COAST TODAY...SPREADING MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN ACROSS THE LOWER

ELEVATIONS AND SOME SNOWFALL FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN

APPALACHIANS. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING MORE CLOUDS AND 

A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW TONIGHT INTO THANKSGIVING DAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-270930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

325 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-11)  28-33 (-3)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+18)  95-100 (+14) 58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.18         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 16         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S  6         NW  9 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

16 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-270930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-13)  25-30 (-5)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+25)  95-100 (+13) 60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.13         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 21        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         S  5         NW 11 G23    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

18 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-270930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

325 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-11)  25-30 (-5)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+18)  95-100 (+10) 57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         S  5         NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.10         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  W  9 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         S  7 G15     NW 10 G21    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 26. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-270930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-11)  28-33 (-5)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  91-96 (+7)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         S  6         NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            1 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NW 13        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     NW  8        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         S  8 G16     NW  9 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-270930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

325 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-13)  28-33 (-6)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+16)  89-94 (+2)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         S  5         NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 NW  9 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         S  6 G15     NW 10 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-270930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

325 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-9)   29-34 (-4)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+16)  95-100 (+12) 52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.14         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 16         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  5         W 10 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-270930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

325 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-7)   29-34 (-4)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   91-96 (+12)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            1 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW 13        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  5         NW  9        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-270930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

325 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-6)   30-35 (-3)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   85-90 (+7)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S  6         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW 13        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      NW  9 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  8 G16     NW  8 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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