

978 

FNUS54 KMRX 252014

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHEAST NEAR THE EAST 

COAST TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...SPREADING MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN ACROSS THE 

LOWER ELEVATIONS AND SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF 

THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING 

MORE CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND 

THANKSGIVING DAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-6)   39-44 (-10)  28-33        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+6)   63-68 (+27)  95-100       58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION       4            3            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.12         0.08         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

17 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER.

HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-5)   37-42 (-11)  26-31        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+13)  63-68 (+29)  95-100       58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.14         0.08         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     NW 10 G20    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      W 11 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

18 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-262115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   39-44 (-10)  25-30        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+11)  54-59 (+24)  93-98        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.06         0.10         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SW  6        W  8 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-262115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (0)    44-49 (-9)   28-33        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+10)  46-51 (+18)  89-94        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.02         0.07         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-262115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+1)   44-49 (-10)  28-33        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 47-52 (+20)  89-94        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.03         0.07         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   31 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-4)   43-48 (-7)   30-35        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+10)  54-59 (+19)  93-98        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       4            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.09         0.08         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 28. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   44-49 (-8)   30-35        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+6)   45-50 (+13)  86-91        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.08         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-3)   45-50 (-7)   31-36        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+7)   41-46 (+9)   81-86        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM                      

PRECIP END            7 AM                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  6 G15    NW  8 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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