

381 

FNUS54 KMRX 250840

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

340 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY. A LOW 

PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHEAST NEAR THE EAST COAST TONIGHT AND 

WEDNESDAY...SPREADING MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS 

AND SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIANS. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING MORE CLOUDS AND 

A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW BY THANKSGIVING DAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

340 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-17)  33-38 (-4)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+1)   89-94 (+10)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

340 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-19)  31-36 (-4)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   95-100 (+22) 60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.24         0.24         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     W  9         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-260945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

340 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-17)  30-35 (-1)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-15)  95-100 (+19) 44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.18         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     W  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-260945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

340 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-16)  32-37 (-1)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-14)  88-93 (+8)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-260945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

340 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-14)  32-37 (-1)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-20)  87-92 (+4)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      SW  9        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   11 POOR      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

340 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-17)  33-38 (-4)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    95-100 (+20) 55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

340 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-17)  32-37 (-3)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   88-93 (+10)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

340 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-14)  32-37 (-4)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-6)   83-88 (+5)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           10           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



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