

283 

FNUS54 KMRX 250210

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

910 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND 

TUESDAY.  A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHEAST NEAR THE EAST 

COAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260315-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

910 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-16)  45-50 (-19)  32-37        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-3)   42-47 (+5)   78-83        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G18    W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      SW 10        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G22    W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260315-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

910 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-15)  46-51 (-20)  31-36        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-5)   36-41 (0)    81-86        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.14         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W  9         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-260315-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

910 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-18)  47-52 (-17)  29-34        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-3)   32-37 (-8)   81-86        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     SW 12        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-260315-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

910 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-19)  50-55 (-17)  31-36        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-5)   30-35 (-12)  82-87        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     SW 10        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     NW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS

NEAR 30. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-260315-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

910 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-17)  51-56 (-15)  32-37        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-11)  26-31 (-19)  84-89        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      SW  9        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   11 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          2                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS

AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

910 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-15)  47-52 (-19)  32-37        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-5)   40-45 (0)    80-85        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW 10        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

910 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-18)  47-52 (-19)  32-37        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-10)  38-43 (-4)   78-83        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW 10        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260315-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

910 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-19)  48-53 (-16)  31-36        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-12)  35-40 (-8)   79-84        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     SW 12        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



