

421 

FNUS54 KMRX 230837

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

337 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS ON THE INCREASE THIS MORNING WILL BE FOLLOWED BY 

SHOWERS LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME VERY 

STRONG AND GUSTY IN...AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL 

TAPER OFF SUNDAY NIGHT. BREEZY CONDITIONS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE 

POSSIBLE MONDAY UNTIL A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH LATE IN THE DAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

337 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   47-52 (+12)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+18)  95-100 (+25) 37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G18                 S 13 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G30    SE 14 G31    SW 15 G30    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.14         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 21                     SW 44        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               123 VERY GOOD

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G23                 S 17 G36     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 17 G38    SE 17 G38    SW 19 G37    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS NEAR

30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

337 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+6)   46-51 (+11)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+19)  95-100 (+10) 30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G27                 S 14 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 19 G37    S 18 G37     SW 13 G29    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           20           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.21         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 30                     SW 33        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 14 G34                 S 17 G35     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 25 G47    S 23 G46     SW 16 G36    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS NEAR

30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-240945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

337 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   46-51 (+7)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+23)  89-94 (-2)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 14 G36                 SW 19 G38    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 21 G41    S 17 G35     SW 14 G33    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.66         0.17         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 33                     SW 37        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               77 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 18 G45                 SW 24 G47    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 26 G51    S 22 G44     SW 17 G41    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS NEAR

30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-240945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

337 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   48-53 (+5)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+25)  93-98 (+3)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G30                 S 14 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 20 G36    S 16 G32     SW 11 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.86         0.15         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 31                     SW 36        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   98 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 16 G38                 S 17 G34     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 25 G46    S 20 G40     SW 14 G28    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-240945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

337 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    47-52 (+6)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+29)  95-100 (+3)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G27                 S 12 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 17 G31    S 13 G25     SW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.99         0.20         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 26                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   81 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 14 G34                 S 15 G30     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 21 G39    S 17 G31     SW 13 G25    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

337 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   46-51 (+10)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+18)  95-100 (+16) 36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  8 G19                  SW 13 G29    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G29    S 13 G29     SW 15 G31    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.14         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 20                     SW 39        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               120 VERY GOOD

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E 10 G24                  SW 16 G36    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 16 G37    S 16 G36     SW 19 G39    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

337 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   48-53 (+8)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+20)  92-97 (+5)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  7 G18                  SW 15 G28    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 11 G24     S 12 G24     SW 13 G27    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.10         0.04         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 15                     SW 45        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               147 VERY GOOD

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  9 G22                  SW 19 G35    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 14 G31     S 15 G30     SW 16 G34    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

337 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   49-54 (+6)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+10)  95-100 (+6)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6 G16                  S 13 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G24    S 11 G24     W 11 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.77         0.09         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 20                     SW 41        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               95 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  8 G21                  S 17 G30     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G30    S 14 G30     W 15 G30     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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