

577 

FNUS54 KMRX 230203

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

903 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT...WITH RAINFALL SPREADING INTO THE AREA 

SLOWLY ON SUNDAY. WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY IN...AND NEAR 

THE MOUNTAINS. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL TAPER OFF SUNDAY NIGHT. 

SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY UNTIL A COLD FRONT MOVES 

THROUGH LATE IN THE DAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240315-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

903 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+9)   54-59 (+4)   46-51        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+11)  53-58 (+28)  95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G18                 SW 14 G27    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE 13 G30    SE 14 G31    SW 13 G27    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           70           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.14         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 21                     SW 38        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               137 VERY GOOD

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G23                 SW 17 G34    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     SE 17 G38    SE 17 G38    SW 16 G34    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240315-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

903 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+10)  53-58 (+6)   45-50        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+20)  56-61 (+28)  94-99        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G27                 SW 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     SE 19 G37    S 19 G37     W 10 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           70           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.45         0.21         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 30                     SW 33        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   100 GOOD     

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 14 G34                 SW 15 G30    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     SE 25 G47    S 24 G46     W 14 G30     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-240315-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

903 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+10)  54-59 (+5)   45-50        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 65-70 (+36)  89-94        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 14 G36                 SW 14 G33    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     SE 21 G41    S 18 G36     W  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.66         0.17         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 33                     SW 41        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               109 VERY GOOD

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 18 G45                 SW 18 G42    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G27     SE 26 G51    S 22 G45     W 11 G24     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-240315-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

903 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+11)  55-60 (+1)   48-53        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+13)  69-74 (+39)  95-100       43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 13 G30                 SW 10 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G19    SE 20 G36    S 16 G32     W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.86         0.15         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 31                     SW 36        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   128 VERY GOOD

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 16 G38                 SW 13 G28    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G24    SE 25 G46    S 20 G40     W 10 G20     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-240315-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

903 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+11)  54-59 (0)    46-51        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 71-76 (+41)  95-100       41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 11 G27                 SW  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    SE 17 G31    S 14 G25     W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.99         0.20         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 26                     SW 32        

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   110 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 14 G34                 SW 11 G24    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G20    SE 21 G39    S 17 G31     W  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS

AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

903 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+10)  56-61 (+4)   45-50        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+9)   56-61 (+26)  95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  8 G19                  SW 11 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 13 G29    S 13 G29     W 11 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.25         0.14         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 20                     SW 37        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               151 VERY GOOD

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E 10 G24                  SW 14 G30    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE 16 G37    S 16 G36     W 15 G30     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

903 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+10)  55-60 (+3)   48-53        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 65-70 (+31)  95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  7 G18                  SW 12 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E 11 G24     S 12 G24     SW  9 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.49         0.10         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     SW 39        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               167 VERY GOOD

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  9 G22                  SW 15 G28    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        E 14 G31     S 15 G30     SW 12 G26    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS

AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240315-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

903 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+10)  56-61 (+1)   49-54        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+13)  67-72 (+36)  91-96        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6 G16                  SW 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE 10 G24    S 11 G24     W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.77         0.09         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 20                     SW 36        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               154 VERY GOOD

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  8 G21                  SW 14 G26    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G16    SE 13 G30    S 14 G30     W 10 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS

AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



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