

875 

FNUS54 KMRX 220816

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EASTERN COAST WILL GIVE WAY

TO AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT

SOUTHERLY WINDS TO INCREASE ON SUNDAY...AS SHOWERS SPREAD ACROSS

THE REGION. A RUMBLE OF THUNDER MAY ALSO OCCUR OVER SOUTHEAST 

TENNESSEE AND PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA SUNDAY EVENING. THE 

WINDS MAY EXCEED 50 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS...WHERE A 

HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY 

MONDAY MORNING.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   34-39 (+10)  53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+5)   79-84 (+13)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SE 11 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.41         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SE 20        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G22    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE  6        SE 15 G28    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   35-40 (+11)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+4)   80-85 (+10)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  7 G15     SE 14 G30    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.60         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SE 29        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 14 G31    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     S  9 G19     SE 21 G37    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COOLER. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-230930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   38-43 (+10)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (0)    78-83 (+6)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G32    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     S 10 G21     SE 18 G35    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.74         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      SE 32        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 15 G40    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     S 13 G27     SE 22 G44    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...WINDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-230930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   38-43 (+10)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   86-91 (+8)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G36    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G15    SE  9 G19    SE 16 G41    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.92         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SE 29        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 15 G45    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G19    SE 12 G24    SE 20 G51    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-230930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   35-40 (+9)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-4)   92-97 (+10)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G30    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  7 G15    SE 13 G33    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         1.01         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SE 23        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 13 G37    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    SE  9 G19    SE 16 G41    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+9)   34-39 (+9)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+4)   87-92 (+11)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.56         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SE 18        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G22    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  6        SE 14 G26    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   37-42 (+9)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+7)   85-90 (+6)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SE  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.65         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      SE 15        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     SE  5        SE 11 G23    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-230930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   39-44 (+8)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+7)   89-94 (+11)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  7 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         SE 13 G31    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.89         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      SE 21        

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  E  9 G34     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  6 G15     SE 15 G39    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD



