

044 

FNUS54 KMRX 210845

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

345 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014



.DISCUSSION...A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A DRY WEATHER PATTERN WILL 

CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH RAINFALL CHANCES 

INCREASING SATURDAY NIGHT...AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY. STRONG 

WINDS MAY ALSO AFFECT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT 

INTO SUNDAY MORNING. 

 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

345 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-2)   24-29 (+3)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-13)  77-82 (+4)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     S 10         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

345 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   24-29 (+5)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-11)  72-77 (+1)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     S 10         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...BREEZY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-220945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

345 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+1)   28-33 (+8)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-11)  76-81 (+1)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      S 13         

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     SE  7 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...WINDY. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-220945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

345 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   28-33 (+7)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-8)   82-87 (0)    34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      SE 16        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G20    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-220945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

345 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   26-31 (+5)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-7)   89-94 (+2)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      SE 13        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             8                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

345 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-2)   25-30 (+4)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-9)   83-88 (+9)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  2                      S  7         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

345 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    28-33 (+6)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-8)   84-89 (+7)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     S 13         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 60.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

345 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   31-36 (+6)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-7)   82-87 (+6)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     S 17         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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