

586 

FNUS54 KMRX 202001

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

301 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A DRY WEATHER PATTERN WILL 

CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH RAINFALL CHANCES 

INCREASING OVERNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT...AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

301 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-5)   41-46 (-2)   23-28        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+20)  27-32 (-9)   81-86        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     S 12         

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-4)   39-44 (-3)   24-29        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+18)  25-30 (-10)  76-81        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     S 12         

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5 G16                 S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO

MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-212115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

301 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-1)   43-48 (+1)   28-33        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+14)  28-33 (-8)   79-84        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      S 17         

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G20     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  8 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...WINDY. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO

5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-212115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-1)   48-53 (+1)   29-34        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+17)  28-33 (-7)   84-89        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      S 18         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR

60. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.

SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-212115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (0)    49-54 (+3)   27-32        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+15)  26-31 (-7)   92-97        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      S 14         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               15 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          5                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

301 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-3)   44-49 (-1)   25-30        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+18)  27-32 (-7)   86-91        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  2                      S  8         

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

301 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-3)   46-51 (0)    28-33        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+16)  30-35 (-5)   88-93        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     S 14         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 60.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

301 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   50-55 (+1)   31-36        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+14)  31-36 (-4)   84-89        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     S 20         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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