

213 

FNUS54 KMRX 200906

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

406 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK AS SOUTHERLY 

WINDS BRING WARMER AIR INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. A WEAK 

SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE 

THIS MORNING...WITH A FEW SNOW FLURRIES POSSIBLE.  OTHERWISE...WE 

WILL REMAIN IN A DRY WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

406 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   18-23 (-5)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   85-90 (+6)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     W  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW  8        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

406 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+4)   17-22 (-4)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+9)   86-91 (+14)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G18                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G23                  NW  6 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     W 11 G23     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...BREEZY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-211015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

406 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+3)   20-25 (-1)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   84-89 (+9)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW  9        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G24                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     W  8 G21     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...WINDY. RAIN AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-211015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

406 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   22-27 (-1)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+5)   86-91 (+10)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      N  8         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-211015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

406 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   22-27 (0)    49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   85-90 (+8)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      N  8         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   11 POOR      

MAX LVORI             3                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

406 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+4)   20-25 (-3)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   83-88 (+3)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW  6        

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     W  6 G16     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

406 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   22-27 (-3)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+5)   83-88 (+7)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NE  7        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

406 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   24-29 (-1)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   82-87 (+2)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      NE  9        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 60.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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