

759 

FNUS54 KMRX 192000

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND BEGINS TODAY.  SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL 

BRING WARMER AIR INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THIS 

AFTERNOON.  A WEAK SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND 

NORTHEAST TENNESSEE LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...WITH A FEW 

SNOW FLURRIES POSSIBLE.  OTHERWISE...WE WILL REMAIN IN A DRY WEATHER 

PATTERN THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+12)  38-43 (+2)   18-23        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+11)  43-48 (+10)  88-93        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    W 10 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW  6        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G24                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    W 12 G25     W  5         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+11)  37-42 (+3)   20-25        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+10)  40-45 (+10)  77-82        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    W 10 G20     W  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW  9        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G25                  NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G22    W 13 G25     W  7 G16     NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-202100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+11)  39-44 (+4)   22-27        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   38-43 (+3)   77-82        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G21    W  9 G19     W  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      N  6         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G24                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G26    W 11 G23     W  6         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-202100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+11)  45-50 (+5)   23-28        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   32-37 (-2)   81-86        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      N  7         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     W  7 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW.

COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-202100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+11)  47-52 (+8)   22-27        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   29-34 (-3)   81-86        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      N  6         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G18                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+12)  41-46 (+4)   19-24        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+7)   40-45 (+7)   91-96        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW  3        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G22                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    W 11 G24     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW.

COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+12)  42-47 (+3)   20-25        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+4)   40-45 (+6)   90-95        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NE  5        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+9)   45-50 (+3)   23-28        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+10)  37-42 (+5)   87-92        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NE  7        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G20    W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      NE  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 60.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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