

226 

FNUS54 KMRX 191947

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

247 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND BEGINS TODAY.  SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL 

BRING WARMER AIR INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THIS 

AFTERNOON.  A WEAK SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND 

NORTHEAST TENNESSEE LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...WITH A FEW 

SNOW FLURRIES POSSIBLE.  OTHERWISE...WE WILL REMAIN IN A DRY WEATHER 

PATTERN THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

247 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+12)  38-43 (+3)   19-24        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+10)  44-49 (+12)  85-90        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD                            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    W 10 G19     W  5         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

247 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+11)  37-42 (+4)   22-27        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+9)   40-45 (+9)   72-77        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G18                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    W  9 G17     W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                                

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G23                  W  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G21    W 12 G22     W  8 G19     NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...



$$



TNZ072-074-202100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

247 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+11)  39-44 (+5)   23-28        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   38-43 (+6)   75-80        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G22                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G21    W  8 G18     W  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                                

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G27                  NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G26    W 10 G23     W  6 G18     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...



$$



TNZ087-102-202100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

247 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+11)  45-50 (+6)   23-28        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   31-36 (+1)   80-85        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                                

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...



$$



NCZ060-061-202100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

247 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+11)  47-52 (+9)   23-28        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (0)    28-33 (-2)   80-85        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                                

MAX LVORI                          3                                      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

247 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+12)  41-46 (+5)   20-25        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+4)   40-45 (+9)   88-93        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD                            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        W 10 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

247 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+12)  42-47 (+4)   21-26        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   39-44 (+7)   85-90        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD                            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

247 PM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+9)   45-50 (+4)   23-28        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+6)   37-42 (+7)   87-92        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD                            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8         W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

NEAR 60. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...



$$



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