

212 

FNUS54 KMRX 190941

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

441 AM EST WED NOV 19 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND BEGINS TODAY.  SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL 

BRING WARMER AIR INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THIS 

AFTERNOON.  A WEAK SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND 

NORTHEAST TENNESSEE LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...WITH A FEW 

SNOW FLURRIES POSSIBLE.  OTHERWISE...WE WILL REMAIN IN A DRY WEATHER 

PATTERN THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-201045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

441 AM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+13)  23-28 (+12)  38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-8)   82-87 (+9)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  8 G15    W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FLURRIES     FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 22         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 SW  8 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    SW 10 G18    W 10 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-201045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

441 AM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+13)  21-26 (+11)  37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-8)   76-81 (+8)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    SW  8 G16    W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FLURRIES     FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 23         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 W 11 G23     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G20    SW  9 G21    W 12 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-201045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

441 AM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+12)  21-26 (+11)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   74-79 (-3)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G16                 W 10 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    SW  9 G21    W  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 24         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G20                 W 13 G27     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G25    SW 12 G26    W 10 G23     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-201045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

441 AM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+12)  23-28 (+11)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   76-81 (-1)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G16     S  8 G15     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 18         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G16                  SW  8 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     S 10 G19     W  7 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-201045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

441 AM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+10)  22-27 (+11)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   77-82 (-1)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  6        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 18         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     W  8 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  8 G16    W  7 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-201045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

441 AM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+11)  23-28 (+12)  41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   80-85 (+3)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    SW  6        W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 23         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 SW  8 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G20    SW  8        W 10 G20     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-201045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

441 AM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+11)  25-30 (+12)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-2)   76-81 (0)    39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    SW  7        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 18         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  SW  7 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G21    SW  9 G17    W  7 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-201045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

441 AM EST WED NOV 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+13)  25-30 (+9)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-1)   78-83 (+6)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G16     S  6         W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 18         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  SW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     S  8         W  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

NEAR 60. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



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