

127 

FNUS54 KMRX 182017

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

317 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN COLD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTIUES TO BUILD INTO THE 

REGION TONIGHT AND WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER INTO THURSDAY. A WEAK 

SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE 

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING WITH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS THERE. 

IT WILL BE NEAR RECORD COLD TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. SOME 

MODERATION WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BUT TEMPERATURES WILL 

STAY BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS.  



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

317 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (-3)   36-41 (+14)  22-27        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-10)  27-32 (-17)  87-92        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         SW 10 G19    SW  7 G15    W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G19                 W 10 G20     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     SW 13 G23    SW  9 G19    W 11 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

317 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (-3)   35-40 (+15)  21-26        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-11)  25-30 (-18)  87-92        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     SW  7        SW  7        W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     W 23         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W 12 G24     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     SW  9 G18    SW  9 G18    W 12 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-192130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

317 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (-2)   36-41 (+14)  22-27        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-9)   28-33 (-12)  90-95        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G17                 W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         SW 10 G22    SW  9 G18    W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G21                 W 11 G23     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     SW 14 G28    SW 11 G23    W 10 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 27. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-192130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

317 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-2)   39-44 (+12)  23-28        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-9)   28-33 (-8)   83-88        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     SW  6        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G16                  SW  6 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G21     SW  8 G17    W  8 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.



$$



NCZ060-061-192130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

317 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (-4)   38-43 (+10)  23-28        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-4)   28-33 (-4)   84-89        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        S  9 G17     SW  5        W  8 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

317 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (-5)   38-43 (+13)  23-28        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-10)  27-32 (-14)  84-89        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    SW  6        W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM                      

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  9 G19     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW 10 G20    SW  8        W 10 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW.

COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

317 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-2)   39-44 (+12)  24-29        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-7)   28-33 (-9)   88-93        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G15                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    SW  7        W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G19                  SW  7 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G22    SW  8 G17    W  8 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

317 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-1)   41-46 (+13)  25-30        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-5)   27-32 (-7)   87-92        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     SW  6        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     W 14         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G17                  W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G21     SW  7        W  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TD/SR



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