

498 

FNUS54 KMRX 180823

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

323 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION 

TODAY AND WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER INTO THURSDAY. IT WILL BE QUITE 

COLD TODAY...AND WHILE SOME MODERATION WILL OCCUR...TEMPERATURES 

WILL STAY BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

323 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-18)  11-16 (-3)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-32)  75-80 (-16)  27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G17                  S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      SW 22        

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   38 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G22                  S  7 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     W  5         SW 11 G20    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

323 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-20)  10-15 (-3)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-36)  66-71 (-22)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G22                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W  6         SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      SW 18        

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 15 G28                  SW  7 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     W  8 G18     SW 10 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-190930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

323 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-19)  11-16 (-1)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-41)  69-74 (-23)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G17                  SW  7 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      SW 24        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G21                  SW  9 G22    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W  5         SW 12 G24    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 28. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-190930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

323 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-16)  13-18 (-2)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-46)  74-79 (-13)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G15                 S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     SW 18        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G19                 S  7 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-190930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

323 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-17)  12-17 (-4)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-44)  78-83 (-5)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G17                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             1                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G21                 SW  7 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

323 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-15)  11-16 (-5)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-41)  72-77 (-19)  27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G18                  S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      SW 20        

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G22                  S  6 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

323 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-14)  14-19 (-2)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-38)  70-75 (-15)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8                      S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      SW 22        

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G17                  S  8 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID

50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

323 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-11)  16-21 (-1)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-38)  70-75 (-11)  27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G17                 S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      SW 21        

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G21                 S  7 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID

50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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