

078 

FNUS54 KMRX 170836

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

336 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014



.DISCUSSION...

THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE AREA WILL EXIT TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY.

A SURGE OF COLD AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AND WILL LINGER 

THROUGH MID WEEK.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

336 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   13-18 (-25)  20-25        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+23)  90-95 (+4)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G20                 W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W 10 G17     W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 21         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   72 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G25                 W 12 G21     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W 12 G22     W 12 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 16. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

336 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   14-19 (-25)  18-23        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+20)  84-89 (+1)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G32                 NW 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     NW 13 G24    W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 23         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G40                 NW 14 G25    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G27     NW 16 G30    W 13 G25     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 8 TO 16. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-180945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

336 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   12-17 (-28)  21-26        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+10)  88-93 (+1)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G40                  NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    NW 11 G20    W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 18         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G50                  NW 11 G21    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G23    NW 13 G25    W 11 G20     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 17. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-180945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

336 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    16-21 (-26)  26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+9)   76-81 (-9)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G26                  NW  8        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    NW 10 G17    NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G33                  NW 11 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    NW 12 G21    NW 10 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-180945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

336 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    18-23 (-26)  27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+10)  76-81 (-7)   20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G25                  NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW 11 G19    NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         2            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G31                  NW 12 G21    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G21    NW 13 G24    NW 11 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 15. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

336 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   17-22 (-23)  24-29        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+12)  77-82 (-9)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G20                  W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W 11         W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 20         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               69 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G25                  W 12 G22     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     W 13 G22     W 12 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

336 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   15-20 (-24)  25-30        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+5)   78-83 (-15)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         NW  9 G16    W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         7 PM                      

PRECIP END            6 PM         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 16         

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G18                 W  9 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     NW 11 G20    W  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

336 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-1)   15-20 (-24)  27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+9)   76-81 (-16)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G15                 NW  8        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    NW  9 G16    W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     W 16         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G19                 NW 10 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    NW 11 G21    W  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 21. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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