

588 

FNUS54 KMRX 160801

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

301 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHEAST OUT OF THE 

GULF STATES...MOVING ACROSS OUR AREA TONIGHT AND THEN OFF TO THE 

NORTHEAST.  ANOTHER SURGE OF COLD AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THIS 

SYSTEM AND WILL LINGER THROUGH MID WEEK.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

301 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   38-43 (+9)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+4)   95-100 (+28) 72-77        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.38         0.47         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     W 17         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 9 TO

22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

13 TO 29. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 17. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   39-44 (+10)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+4)   95-100 (+27) 62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.54         0.54         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      W 22         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    42 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G25    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  8 G21     W 12 G23     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 12 TO

24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 18. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-170915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

301 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   40-45 (+8)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   94-99 (+26)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G32    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5 G17     S 10 G25     NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.66         0.60         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      W 16         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW 12 G40    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G21     S 12 G31     NW 10 G20    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 14 TO

23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-170915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   41-46 (+7)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   95-100 (+26) 57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G15    NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.87         0.51         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  9 G28     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G19    NW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-170915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

301 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    43-48 (+10)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+11)  95-100 (+21) 59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         1.06         0.68         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   31 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G24    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

301 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+4)   40-45 (+11)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+9)   95-100 (+21) 61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.49         0.46         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     W 20         

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               52 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G20    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G23     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 14 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

301 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   38-43 (+6)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+11)  95-100 (+23) 54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.53         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      W 16         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               39 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 14 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

301 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    38-43 (+1)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (0)    95-100 (+31) 54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.70         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               42 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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