

546 

FNUS54 KMRX 160225 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

925 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BRING IN 

WARMER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. OVERNIGHT CLOUDS 

WILL BE ON THE INCREASE. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE RELATIVELY 

WARMER DUE TO THICKER CLOUD COVER. THERE MAY BE A FEW SPRINKLES OR 

SNOW FLURRIES ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU NEAR SUNRISE OR SHORTLY 

THEREAFTER. MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY UNTIL AFTER NOON WHEN 

RAINFALL CHANCES INCREASE. ALL OF EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA WILL RECEIVE MEASURABLE 

PRECIPITATION BY SUNDAY NIGHT. 

 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170330-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

925 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+12)  43-48 (+5)   37-42        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-4)   39-44 (+7)   92-97        73-78        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            6            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.33         0.46         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      W 12         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  9 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 13 TO 21.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

18 TO 29. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 17. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170330-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

925 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+14)  44-49 (+9)   36-41        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-3)   37-42 (+5)   95-100       63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         W  9 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.32         0.55         

LAL                   1            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G24    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        LGT/VAR      S  6 G15     W 11 G26     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 15 TO 24.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 9 TO 18. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-170330-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

925 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+15)  45-50 (+8)   38-43        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-8)   43-48 (+8)   95-100       63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.59         0.63         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SW 15        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW 10 G26    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         S  8 G20     W  9 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 17 TO 23.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 18. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-170330-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

925 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+12)  47-52 (+4)   40-45        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-5)   45-50 (+10)  95-100       63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      SE  5        NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.75         0.60         

LAL                   1            5            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      W 13         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SW  6 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S  5         SE  7 G17    NW  9 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 16 TO

23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 19. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-170330-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

925 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+11)  46-51 (+2)   40-45        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-3)   46-51 (+13)  95-100       62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        NW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.72         0.61         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      W 10         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5        SE  6        NW  9 G20    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS

17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170330-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

925 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+11)  46-51 (+6)   38-43        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   41-46 (+9)   95-100       68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            6            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.36         0.45         

LAL                   1            4            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  2                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               31 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G20     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 16 TO 24.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170330-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

925 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+11)  44-49 (+4)   37-42        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   45-50 (+11)  95-100       63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.65         0.37         

LAL                   1            5            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   46 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 15 TO

24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170330-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

925 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+12)  44-49 (+1)   38-43        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-1)   48-53 (+12)  89-94        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.89         0.34         

LAL                   1            5            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   57 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G22    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 10 G23    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 16 TO

24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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