

118 

FNUS54 KMRX 150752

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

252 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA TODAY WILL SHIFT EAST 

TONIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK FROM THE GULF STATE AND 

WILL PASS BY OUR SOUTH AND EAST SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED 

BY ANOTHER SURGE OF COLD AIR.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

252 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+10)  22-27 (+10)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-14)  75-80 (-7)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    9 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS

14 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

252 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+8)   23-28 (+13)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-11)  69-74 (-9)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW  6        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS

15 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

252 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+8)   23-28 (+11)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-8)   74-79 (-10)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS

17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

252 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   23-28 (+8)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-5)   81-86 (-1)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      S  9         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

252 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+8)   22-27 (+8)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-4)   85-90 (-1)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      S  8         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

252 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+8)   22-27 (+9)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-9)   82-87 (-1)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  3                      W  6         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS

16 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

252 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+7)   24-29 (+8)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-6)   79-84 (+2)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

252 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   26-31 (+9)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-5)   80-85 (+8)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     S  8         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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