

685 

FNUS54 KMRX 142027

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

327 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR MASS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE  

TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...RESULTING IN COLDER 

THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH 

SATURDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE QUITE DRY ON SATURDAY...

BUT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY LIGHT.



A SYSTEM FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL SPREAD WARMER AIR

AND CHANCES OF RAIN NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA ON SUNDAY...WITH A COLD

FRONT TURNING THE AREA COLDER AGAIN ON MONDAY.

 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

327 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-4)   38-43 (+10)  24-29        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-9)   26-31 (-21)  67-72        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 9 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  3                      SW 10        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

MUCH COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

327 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-4)   38-43 (+11)  22-27        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-13)  25-30 (-18)  69-74        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 9 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     SW  6        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G16     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G19    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-152130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

327 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-1)   41-46 (+12)  23-28        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-10)  25-30 (-11)  77-82        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      S  7 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      S 10         

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      S  8 G22     SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-152130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

327 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-2)   45-50 (+10)  25-30        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-5)   25-30 (-4)   73-78        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      SE  6 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      S 12         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SE  7 G19    S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

MUCH COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-152130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

327 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-3)   46-51 (+10)  23-28        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   22-27 (-5)   80-85        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      S  9         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   8 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         S  5         SE  6        S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

327 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-4)   40-45 (+8)   23-28        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-12)  25-30 (-13)  76-81        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 9 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  5                      SW  5        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

MUCH COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

327 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-1)   42-47 (+9)   26-31        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-3)   25-30 (-11)  74-79        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      S  9         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

MUCH COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

327 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (0)    45-50 (+11)  29-34        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+1)   27-32 (-5)   70-75        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7        LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 24.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



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