

586 

FNUS54 KMRX 141558

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1058 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR MASS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE  

TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...RESULTING IN COLDER 

THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS INTO 

SATURDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH BY SUNDAY BRINGING THE 

NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION.  RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE

PRETTY LOW ON SATURDAY.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-151700-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1058 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-6)   16-21 (-3)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-27)  75-80 (-15)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     S  3         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-151700-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1058 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-9)   16-21 (-3)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-32)  70-75 (-20)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     S  5         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G19                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    NW  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-151700-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1058 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-5)   17-22 (0)    39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-31)  72-77 (-20)  27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      S  3         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-151700-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1058 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+1)   19-24 (0)    42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-29)  74-79 (-12)  27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      S  6         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-151700-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1058 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-1)   18-23 (-1)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-30)  80-85 (-4)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      S  6         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   10 POOR      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-151700-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1058 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-4)   17-22 (-3)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-30)  73-78 (-18)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     SE  2        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-151700-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1058 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-1)   18-23 (0)    41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-24)  71-76 (-10)  27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      SE  3        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-151700-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1058 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+1)   19-24 (0)    43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-22)  71-76 (-1)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      S  8         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



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