

717 

FNUS54 KMRX 132015

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

315 PM EST THU NOV 13 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIRMASS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE  

TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...RESULTING IN COLDER 

THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS INTO 

SATURDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT 

INTO MONDAY WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO THE AREA.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

315 PM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-13)  32-37 (-2)   17-22        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  38-43 (-34)  70-75        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            11 PM                                               

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     E  2         

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-15)  31-36 (-5)   17-22        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  34-39 (-40)  66-71        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW  7        N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            11 PM                                               

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW  2        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G18                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    NW  9 G18    N  6 G15     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-142115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

315 PM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-16)  35-40 (+1)   18-23        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 32-37 (-35)  71-76        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G15     N  6         NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      NE  3        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G19     N  8 G15     NE  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-142115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-15)  38-43 (+4)   20-25        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+12)  28-33 (-31)  72-77        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G18     N  7         NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      S  5         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G19                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G22     N  9 G17     NE  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-142115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-17)  40-45 (+3)   19-24        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+13)  25-30 (-34)  77-82        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      S  7         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G21     N  9         NE  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

315 PM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-14)  35-40 (-1)   18-23        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  34-39 (-34)  70-75        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     E  5         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

315 PM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-15)  36-41 (+2)   19-24        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+7)   31-36 (-29)  70-75        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      E  6         

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

315 PM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-14)  38-43 (+5)   20-25        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    28-33 (-26)  70-75        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G15     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      SE  7        

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G16                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 11 G19     N  8         NE  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



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