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FNUS54 KMRX 131534

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1034 AM EST THU NOV 13 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO 

THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...RESULTING IN COLDER 

THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES. AREAS OF DRIZZLE CAN BE EXPECTED 

THIS MORNING...THEN CHANGING OVER TO FLURRIES IN NORTHERN SECTIONS

AS COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION.



OTHERWISE DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER 

OF THE WORK WEEK.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS 

WEEKEND...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO 

MONDAY. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141645-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1034 AM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-11)  19-24 (-13)  30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-4)   83-88 (-6)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  6        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  8 G16    NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141645-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1034 AM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-13)  19-24 (-15)  29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+4)   92-97 (-1)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    NW  9 G17    NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  9 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    NW 11 G22    NW  9 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-141645-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1034 AM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-11)  18-23 (-15)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   80-85 (-2)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  8 G16     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     N 12         

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     N  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    N 10 G20     N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-141645-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1034 AM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   20-25 (-14)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-10)  67-72 (-13)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    N  9 G17     N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 14                      N 15         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      N  9 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    N 12 G21     N  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-141645-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1034 AM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-12)  20-25 (-16)  36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   67-72 (-7)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    N  9 G17     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     N 12         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     N  7 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    N 12 G21     N  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1034 AM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-11)  20-25 (-14)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-4)   76-81 (-11)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  6        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     NW  9        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW  8        NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1034 AM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-9)   19-24 (-14)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-8)   70-75 (-15)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     N 10         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW  8 G15    N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141645-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1034 AM EST THU NOV 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   20-25 (-13)  37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-12)  66-71 (-14)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        N  8 G15     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      N 14         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9                      N  9 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    N 10 G19     N  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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