

945 

FNUS54 KMRX 122051

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

351 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO 

THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...RESULTING IN COLDER 

THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR 

THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. HOWEVER A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO 

SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND...WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW BY LATE 

SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.   





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132200-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

351 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-9)   38-43 (-10)  21-26        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  54-59 (-6)   80-85        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        NW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    21 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  8 G15    NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132200-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

351 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-6)   37-42 (-13)  20-25        28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  61-66 (+4)   90-95        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        NW  8 G15    NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     NW  8 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17    NW 10 G19    NW  9 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-132200-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

351 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-6)   37-42 (-12)  19-24        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   55-60 (-2)   90-95        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        N  7         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     N  8         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    N  9 G18     N  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-132200-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

351 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   43-48 (-9)   20-25        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-7)   40-45 (-15)  82-87        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N  7         N  8         N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      N 13         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      N  9 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  9 G17     N 11 G19     N  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-132200-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

351 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-2)   47-52 (-10)  20-25        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-12)  38-43 (-11)  84-89        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        N  8         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     N 10         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   12 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     N  8 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW  9 G17    N 11 G19     N  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

351 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-7)   41-46 (-10)  21-26        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  47-52 (-9)   85-90        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  6        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END                         1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     NW  9        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW  7        NW  8        NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

351 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-8)   39-44 (-8)   20-25        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+2)   38-43 (-19)  78-83        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW  6        N  6         N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     N 10         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW  7 G15    N  9         N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132200-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

351 PM EST WED NOV 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-7)   42-47 (-7)   20-25        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-3)   33-38 (-24)  73-78        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW  7        N  8         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      N 16         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8                      N  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8         NW  9 G17    N 10 G18     N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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