

978 

FNUS54 KMRX 112011

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

311 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT USHERING 

IN COLDER AIR WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS CAN 

BE EXPECTED THE REST OF THE WEEK.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

311 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   49-54 (-19)  29-34        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+11)  49-54 (+24)  88-93        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM                                               

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     NW  9        

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

311 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   49-54 (-15)  30-35        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+18)  54-59 (+29)  95-100       52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-122115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

311 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+4)   49-54 (-13)  31-36        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+24)  54-59 (+27)  90-95        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-122115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

311 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+6)   51-56 (-15)  30-35        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+24)  54-59 (+24)  87-92        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      N 13         

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         N  5         N  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. EAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-122115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

311 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+9)   55-60 (-13)  32-37        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+16)  47-52 (+22)  90-95        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     NW 10        

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          6                         6            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        N  5         NW  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

311 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+8)   51-56 (-16)  31-36        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+11)  50-55 (+20)  85-90        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     NW  8        

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

311 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   49-54 (-14)  30-35        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 52-57 (+12)  79-84        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         N  5         N  8 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

311 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   50-55 (-14)  30-35        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 50-55 (+7)   77-82        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      N  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         N  5         N  8         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      N 15         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      N  8 G19     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         N  6         N 10 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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