

778 

FNUS54 KMRX 110819

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

319 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAKENING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE A MOSTLY 

SUNNY SKY AND WARM CONDITIONS TODAY.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS 

THE AREA TONIGHT USHERING IN COLDER AIR WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  

COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THE REST OF THE WEEK.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

319 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+6)   40-45 (+6)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-4)   93-98 (+18)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     NW 12        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  5        N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   40-45 (+6)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-5)   95-100 (+28) 58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-120930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

319 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   42-47 (+5)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-5)   95-100 (+37) 58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW 12        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  6        N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-120930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+4)   43-48 (+7)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-2)   95-100 (+29) 57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     N 12         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      N  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        N  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-120930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+6)   43-48 (+10)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-7)   95-100 (+26) 54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         8            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

319 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+4)   41-46 (+9)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-5)   93-98 (+15)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW  9        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

319 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    40-45 (+4)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+4)   95-100 (+20) 53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     N 12         

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  6        N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

319 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   41-46 (+3)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   95-100 (+20) 52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  5        N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     N 14         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G15                  N  8         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9         SW  6        N  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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