

178 

FNUS54 KMRX 102021

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

321 PM EST MON NOV 10 2014



.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE BY TUESDAY 

AFTERNOON WHEN A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION. BEFORE THE FRONT 

ARRIVES TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL. RAIN SHOWERS WILL 

BECOME POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO 

BE LESS THAN ONE HALF INCH. COLD CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED LATER 

THIS WEEK.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

321 PM EST MON NOV 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+2)   64-69 (+2)   40-45        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-4)   24-29 (-5)   86-91        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     N 13         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SW  5        SW  5        N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

321 PM EST MON NOV 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+2)   62-67 (+2)   40-45        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-1)   25-30 (-8)   92-97        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-112130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

321 PM EST MON NOV 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+5)   62-67 (+1)   41-46        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-2)   22-27 (-7)   85-90        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     N 12         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW  5        SW  6        N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-112130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

321 PM EST MON NOV 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+4)   65-70 (+3)   43-48        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-12)  25-30 (-8)   86-91        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      N 15         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      N  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SW  6        LGT/VAR      N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-112130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

321 PM EST MON NOV 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+4)   65-70 (+3)   42-47        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-7)   21-26 (-12)  87-92        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      N 13         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

321 PM EST MON NOV 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   64-69 (+1)   40-45        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-7)   26-31 (-7)   95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

321 PM EST MON NOV 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+4)   63-68 (0)    41-46        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-7)   33-38 (0)    88-93        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     N 13         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  8         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    SW  6        N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

321 PM EST MON NOV 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+6)   64-69 (+2)   42-47        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   36-41 (0)    88-93        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      N  8 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  8 G15    SW  5        N  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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