

360 

FNUS54 KMRX 092003

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

303 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE DRY WEATHER AND 

CLEAR SKIES...ALLOWING FOR ANOTHER CHILLY NIGHT. SOUTHERLY FLOW 

RETURNS MONDAY AND TUESDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS 

WILL BRING A NICE WARM UP WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S AND NEAR 70. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

303 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-3)   63-68 (+10)  39-44        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+6)   30-35 (-12)  71-76        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SW 17        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-1)   61-66 (+8)   37-42        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+3)   30-35 (-12)  70-75        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      SW  7        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-102115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

303 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+1)   61-66 (+6)   38-43        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-5)   20-25 (-21)  69-74        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-102115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-1)   65-70 (+8)   37-42        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+4)   23-28 (-17)  72-77        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE  5        SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      S 15         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         SE  6        SW  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-102115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   65-70 (+6)   35-40        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+4)   20-25 (-16)  74-79        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      S 10         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         SE  5        SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

303 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   63-68 (+8)   35-40        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  32-37 (-12)  75-80        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

303 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   64-69 (+9)   39-44        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  30-35 (-16)  74-79        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 21        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

303 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-4)   65-70 (+9)   40-45        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 29-34 (-16)  77-82        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 21        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               50 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  5         SW  9 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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