

425 

FNUS54 KMRX 090902

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

402 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



.DISCUSSION...

COOLER AIR WILL MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH NORTHEAST TENNESSEE 

AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA THIS MORNING. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO WARM 

QUICKLY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT 

WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN RAIN 

CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE. WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW 

10 MPH AND BECOME SOUTHERLY LATER TODAY AND REMAIN SOUTHERLY THROUGH 

TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-101015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

402 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   31-36 (-3)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    95-100 (+8)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      S  8         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-101015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

402 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   32-37 (-1)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (0)    86-91 (+5)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      S  6         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-101015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

402 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   33-38 (+2)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-1)   83-88 (-2)   20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     SW  6        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-101015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

402 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-4)   34-39 (0)    65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   86-91 (+5)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     S  8         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-101015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

402 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   32-37 (-1)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   90-95 (+11)  20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      S  8         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-101015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

402 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-4)   31-36 (-3)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   95-100 (+10) 32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  2                      S  3         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-101015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

402 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   32-37 (-2)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+1)   95-100 (+10) 30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  2                     S  9         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-101015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

402 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-5)   34-39 (-2)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   95-100 (+13) 29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     S 10         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



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