

898 

FNUS54 KMRX 082003

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

303 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2014



.DISCUSSION...

THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO LOOK MOSTLY DRY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY BEHIND A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.

THEN...WARMER TEMPERATURES FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-092115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

303 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+7)   49-54 (-3)   33-38        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+3)   45-50 (+1)   88-93        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     S  8         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-092115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+7)   48-53 (-5)   30-35        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-6)   44-49 (+2)   89-94        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      S  7         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-092115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

303 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+5)   49-54 (-4)   32-37        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+3)   36-41 (-6)   83-88        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      S  8         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-092115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+6)   55-60 (-4)   31-36        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-5)   36-41 (0)    88-93        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      S 10         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-092115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+6)   55-60 (-2)   31-36        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-8)   32-37 (-3)   84-89        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  3                     S  8         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-092115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

303 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+6)   51-56 (-5)   30-35        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-2)   43-48 (+2)   93-98        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     S  6         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-092115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

303 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+5)   53-58 (-3)   32-37        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-3)   41-46 (0)    95-100       30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      S  9         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-092115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

303 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   56-61 (-4)   32-37        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-1)   37-42 (0)    92-97        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      S 14         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



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