

547 

FNUS54 KMRX 071945

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

245 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2014



.DISCUSSION...

EXPECT NEAR NORMAL LOWS TONIGHT. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH 

MOVES THROUGH SATURDAY...BUT MOST AREAS STAY DRY. COLDER AIR ON 

SUNDAY BEHIND THE TROUGH...THEN A GRADUAL WARMING TREND STARTS ON 

MONDAY...AS WEAK RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE AREA.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

245 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-5)   51-56 (+10)  33-38        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+1)   38-43 (-23)  90-95        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM                      

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W  8         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-5)   51-56 (+9)   31-36        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+3)   35-40 (-21)  89-94        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM                      

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W  8         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  5         NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-082045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

245 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-4)   51-56 (+6)   31-36        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+2)   29-34 (-22)  88-93        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM                      

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     NW  5        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-082045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-6)   57-62 (+3)   35-40        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+7)   28-33 (-9)   81-86        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      N  6         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G18                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-082045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-6)   55-60 (0)    35-40        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+6)   28-33 (-7)   75-80        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM                      

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      NW  5        

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   12 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G16                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

245 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-6)   54-59 (+7)   33-38        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   35-40 (-17)  89-94        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W  6         

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G15                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

245 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-5)   55-60 (+7)   34-39        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 35-40 (-11)  89-94        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     NW  5        

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G18                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

245 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-7)   58-63 (+8)   35-40        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+19)  33-38 (-8)   86-91        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      N  6         

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G16                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



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